Epstein suicide note released by May 31? ↗

Price rose 8.5pp from 13.0% to 21.5% over 1h (spike). Now at 21.5%.

Days to resolution: 19 days. This is a time‑decay market (deadline within 90 days); theta-bleed would normally hurt YES absent news, but here there is fresh direct coverage of the note being unsealed/released, which trumps time decay. The ★DIRECT news predominantly supports YES, and the trend is UP, so they ALIGN. A concrete ACTION — the court unsealing/release of Epstein’s alleged suicide note — is being widely confirmed today, matching the spike and suggesting information-driven follow‑through. After clustering: 1 distinct event (court unseals/releases alleged note) from 4 total ★DIRECT articles. Fresh vs stale: trend_fresh=1, trend_stale=2, counter_fresh=0, counter_stale=0. Momentum signals: trend=1, counter=0. With a high‑quality ACTION and no direct counter‑signals, some continuation is likely as traders digest whether this satisfies the market’s criteria, and the Remaining space: 78.5pp leaves room for further repricing. Step 3 checks: no news‑trend conflict (Rule 1), not BALANCED MIXED (Rule 2), spike exhaustion (Rule 5) does not bind given a matching fresh catalyst, and theta+boundary (Rule 7) does not bind at 21.5%.