Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? ↗

Price rose 8.0pp from 78.0% to 86.0% over 6.5h (steady), then reversed. Now at 80.5%, down 5.5pp from peak, 1.0h after the peak. [Prior context: 72h range: 61.5%-86.0%]

retrieval recorded but no surviving headlines — the keyword nets didn't match any articles in the window.

Semantic Polarity: YES = Bolojan leaves office by Dec 31 (resignation, dismissal, no‑confidence/swap), NO = he remains PM through Dec 31. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. 
Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified).
Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0).
Self-check: no change.
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: UP (from 78% to 86%)
Alignment: OPPOSITE
Theta: DOWN — opposed
No Logical or Strong Divergence signals exist, but the 8pp rise occurred with zero ★ DIRECT headlines; there is no evidence of a resignation announcement, no-confidence motion scheduled/passed, presidential/party withdrawal of support, or coalition deal to replace him. With no verified catalysts and theta opposed, the up-move looks flow-driven and has already retraced; the spike is likely to continue reverting.

Kill switches:
- Official announcement that Bolojan will resign (with an effective date on or before Dec 31)
- Governing party/coalition formally withdraws support and names a successor
- No-confidence motion formally filed with a scheduled vote date in the near term
- President or party leadership publicly states Bolojan will be replaced this year
- Credible report of a signed coalition agreement specifying leadership change before Dec 31

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.