Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? ↗

Price fell 8.3pp from 29.3% to 21.0% over 3.5h (front_loaded), then reversed. Now at 23.5%, up 2.5pp from trough, 0.5h after the trough. [Prior context: 24h ago: 14.5%, 72h range: 14.5%-31.0%]

Semantic Polarity: YES = Gabbard is out (resigns, fired, suspended) by June 30; NO = she remains in office through June 30. Trend is DOWN, pricing in NO-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=1, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=1 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change.
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: DOWN (from 29% to 21%)
Alignment: SAME
Theta: DOWN — aligned
No Logical Divergence; the drop aligns with a D signal and there is no Strong Divergence. The only concrete event is an official denial by the DNI press secretary that a reported CIA “raid” occurred, which deflates a scandal-implication rumor and does not satisfy any “out by” criterion; other items (biolabs probe) show routine activity, not departure steps. Given a near-term deadline where time passage hurts YES and the fresh denial undercuts the bullish-rumor thesis, the 8.3pp decline is justified rather than an overreaction.