Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? ↗

Price rose 6.0pp from 74.2% to 80.2% over 8.5h (spike), then reversed. Now at 77.9%, down 2.3pp from peak, 0.5h after the peak. [Prior context: 24h ago: 82.9%, 72h range: 67.6%-90.3%]

retrieval recorded but no surviving headlines — the keyword nets didn't match any articles in the window.

Semantic Polarity: YES = Bolojan is out as PM by June 30; NO = he remains PM through June 30. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. 
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: UP (from 74% to 80%)
Alignment: OPPOSITE
Theta: DOWN — opposed
With no ★ DIRECT events (e.g., resignation announced, dismissal, no-confidence vote passed, coalition deal to replace him) reported, there is no verified progress toward the resolution criterion to justify a 6pp spike. Given the lack of news and theta-opposed move, this looks flow-driven and likely to partially revert. ⚠ CIRCUIT BREAKER — SEARCH FAILURE: Using LOW conviction and SMALL size as required.

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.