Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? ↗

Price fell 10.3pp from 47.9% to 37.6% over 27.0h (steady), then reversed. Now at 39.8%, up 2.2pp from trough, 5.0h after the trough.

Semantic Polarity: YES = Vance is confirmed/scheduled to attend or actually attends the next US–Iran diplomatic meeting by the deadline; NO = talks occur without him, are canceled, or no meeting/attendance by deadline. Trend is DOWN, pricing in the NO-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change.
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: DOWN (from 48% to 38%)
Alignment: SAME
Theta: DOWN — aligned
No Logical Divergence or Strong Divergence exists (no incremental E/D). There are no ★ DIRECT items about a US–Iran meeting being scheduled, canceled, or Vance’s attendance; the lone article is unrelated CONTEXT and does not touch settlement criteria. With a ≤60-day deadline and the move aligned with time-decay, the 10.3pp drop is justified by theta rather than news, so FAIR; any rebound should be limited absent new DIRECT signals.

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.