Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? ↗

Price fell 8.1pp from 92.3% to 84.2% over 1h (steady). Now at 84.2%.

Days to resolution: 237 days. Theta-bleed check: Deadline >90 days, so time decay is negligible over the next 2–3 days and does not support a continued DOWN move on its own. The ★DIRECT news predominantly supports neither side (no direct items); the trend is DOWN, implying NO is becoming less likely, but alignment is MIXED/STARVED due to absence of resolution-touching news. Momentum appears starved: the sole item is a general debt story unrelated to resignation/dismissal/no-confidence processes, offering no concrete path toward ouster. After clustering: 0 distinct ★DIRECT events; the one context item is NOISE. Momentum signals: trend=0, counter=0. With zero catalysts and a steady -8pp move at a high base price, follow-through looks limited absent fresh process news; Remaining space: 84.2pp, but being ≥80% cautions against extrapolating the move without new signals. Step 3 hard rule check: Rule 2 (BALANCED MIXED) and Rule 4 (use of “starved”) bind → STALL.

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.