Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? ↗

Price rose 8.0pp from 55.5% to 63.5% over 6.0h (steady), then reversed. Now at 61.5%, down 2.0pp from peak, 2.0h after the peak. [Prior context: 24h ago: 37.0%, 72h range: 16.0%-63.5%]

Semantic Polarity: YES = Knesset formally dissolves (passes dissolution law/resolution) by June 30; NO = it is not dissolved by then. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. 
Momentum check: E=1, D=0, L=1 (R=0 unverified). 
Incremental only: E=1, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). 
Self-check: no change. 
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: UP (from 56% to 64%)
Alignment: OPPOSITE
Theta: DOWN — opposed
No Logical Divergence: price rose on news that increases dissolution odds. The concrete new step is the coalition/whip submitting a bill to dissolve the Knesset with a vote expected next week (legislative process step toward dissolution, not resolution itself), plus reporting that a key ultra-Orthodox partner decided to quit the government — both materially raise near-term dissolution risk but do not yet satisfy the settlement criterion. Given fresh, verified process momentum, an 8pp repricing sits within the 5–10pp range justified by several medium-impact process signals, so the move is FAIR rather than an overreaction.

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.