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Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? ↗
will-zelenskyy-and-putin-meet-next-in-russia
· Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027? · category: Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, Ukraine, World
· resolves
run_id: 836f7852-3853-4830-b102-e211db5eef7f
· started
· status
skipped
· planner_skipped
· ✕ planner rejected
action_not_tradeable: STALL
signal detected
● executed
detect_momentum · UR
direction
UP
current price
4.0%
anchor → trigger
0.4% → 4.0%
cusum @ trigger
7.26
trigger hours
1h
duration
1h
72h range
0.6%—4.0%
(Δ3.4pp)
tick density (6h)
0.67
Price rose 3.6pp from 0.4% to 4.0% over 1h (spike). Now at 4.0%.
news gathered
● executed
news retrieval (tomographic)
raw→filtered: 314 → 15
quality: HIGH
tokens: 17123
article_precursor
relevant
Moscow shuts down airports and mobile signals as Victory Day parade looms
article_thesis
noise
Armenia hosts a historic EU summit as it charts a course away from...
article_thesis
noise
Russia's ally Armenia pushes closer to EU in 'milestone' summit | International
article_thesis
relevant
Russia Declares Victory Day Truce, Signals Pause in Fighting
article_thesis
relevant
Day 1,531: Russia has returned 375 bodies of Ukrainian military and civilians earlier confirmed as war prisoners | UACRISIS.ORG
article_precursor
relevant
Zelensky unveils military reforms, signals extended Ukraine conflict
article_antithesis
noise
'Building the Future': Yerevan hosts 8th European Political Community summit
article_antithesis
relevant
Armenia tests Moscow's patience with Zelenskyy visit and EU summit
article_antithesis
relevant
Slovak Prime Minister, Zelensky discuss prospects of government consultations
article_thesis
relevant
This Summer Will Be the Moment When Putin Decides Whether to Expand the War, and We Must Push Him Towards Diplomacy - President during the European Political Community Summit
article_antithesis
noise
Armenia hosts European Political Community summit
article_antithesis
noise
World leaders arriving in Armenia for 8th EPC summit
article_antithesis
noise
Canada joins European summit in Armenia as leaders confront security challenges
article_antithesis
noise
Europe, Canada leaders hold Yerevan talks in Trump's shadow
gnews_antithesis
relevant
Zelenskyy has no cards to play against Russia or the West - Al Jazeera
AI verdict
● executed
Prompt-UR · continuation analysis
STALL
conviction: LOW
opportunity: SMALL
action: OMIT
gpt-5 · prompt_2_trend_ur_v6.2.0 · 11185 tokens
Days to resolution: 239 days. Theta-bleed check: deadline is >90 days, so time decay is negligible over the next 2–3 days. The ★DIRECT news predominantly supports neither side; there are no direct resolution-touching events, while the trend is UP for YES, so news alignment is MIXED/NOISE rather than supportive. Momentum is starved/plateauing: coverage centers on Armenia’s EPC summit, Moscow security/Victory Day measures, and general war context, with no scheduling, invitations, or confirmations of a Putin–Zelensky meeting in Russia. Signal classification: these are NOISE relative to the criterion; Momentum signals: trend=0, counter=0. With no catalyst behind the spike and the market near the 0% boundary, follow-through is limited; stabilization is more likely than continued climb or sharp reversal. Remaining space: 4pp. Step 3 hard rule check: No clear news-trend conflict and not “balanced mixed,” but Rule 4 language (starved/plateauing, no fresh catalyst) binds to STALL; deep-boundary condition caps conviction.
rule audit
● executed
audit_gate
✓
all
trade plan
○ skipped
position_planner
✕ action_not_tradeable: STALL
the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.