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mr
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? ↗
aliensgov-confirmed-as-immigration-website
· Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? · category: Aliens, Culture, Immigration, Politics, Trump, ufo
· resolves
run_id: fa68a194-2f72-4831-b919-e7d973d8c516
· started
· status
skipped
· audit_blocked
· ✕ audit blocked
move_start (68.5%) appears to be a short-lived spike, not a stable equilibrium. 72h range: 7.5%-68.5% (midpoint: 38.0%). Distance from midpoint: 30.5pp vs move_size: 10.0pp (ratio: 3.0x > 1.5x limit).
signal detected
● executed
detect_reversal
direction
UP
current / peak
61.5% / 58.5%
move_start
68.5%
reversal
+3.0pp
move size / hours
10.0pp / 0.5h
shape
steady
72h range
7.5%—68.5% (Δ61.0pp)
since peak
1.0h
Price fell 10.0pp from 68.5% to 58.5% over 0.5h (steady), then reversed. Now at 61.5%, up 3.0pp from trough, 1.0h after the trough. [Prior context: 72h range: 7.5%-68.5%]
news gathered
● executed
news retrieval (tomographic)
raw→filtered: 41 → 13
quality: MEDIUM
tokens: 16446
gnews_indirect_evidence
relevant
The Government Just Released a Batch of UFO Files: Where Are the Aliens? - CNET
gnews_mechanism
relevant
Pentagon Releases Files on U.F.O.s - The New York Times
gnews_indirect_evidence
relevant
Pentagon Releases Declassified UFO Files on Government Website - Bloomberg.com
article_thesis
relevant
Trump Admin Launches Pentagon UFO Website With Declassified Files - Decrypt
gnews_antithesis
noise
ICE Asks Indiana to Not Release Illegal Alien Serial Rapist - Homeland Security (.gov)
gnews_indirect_evidence
relevant
Pentagon releases swath of UFO files - Politico
gnews_thesis
relevant
Pentagon begins releasing new UFO files, unveiling dozens of photos, videos and documents - CBS News
gnews_thesis
relevant
Pentagon releases initial batch of declassified files detailing UFOs - CNN
gnews_thesis
relevant
The government's UFO files are being released. We asked scientists what they think we'll learn. - CBS News
gnews_indirect_evidence
relevant
Department of War Releases Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena Files in Historic Transparency Effort - U.S. Department of War (.gov)
gnews_antithesis
noise
Presidential Unsealing and Reporting System for UAP Encounters (PURSUE) - U.S. Department of War (.gov)
article_thesis
relevant
Pentagon Releases Ufo Files On New Website
gnews_antithesis
noise
Refugees Without Green Cards Subject to Arrest Under New Policy - The New York Times
AI verdict
● executed
Prompt-MR · misprice analysis
UNDERPRICED
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: LARGE
action: YES
gpt-5 · prompt_2_misprice_v8.5.7 · 13399 tokens
Semantic Polarity: YES = a government-confirmed “aliens.gov” that functions as an immigration website; NO = no such government confirmation or the domain is not an immigration site. Trend is DOWN, pricing in the NO-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: NEUTRAL Price move direction: DOWN (from 68% to 58%) Alignment: N/A Theta: NEUTRAL — NEUTRAL. No ★ DIRECT evidence of “aliens.gov” being launched/confirmed as an immigration website; the Pentagon/UAP file releases are unrelated context and do not meet the settlement criterion. With zero incremental signals, a 10pp drop over 0.5h looks flow-driven rather than news-driven; expect partial reversion upward.
rule audit
✕ blocked
audit_gate
✕
C_BUBBLE_MOVE_START
move_start (68.5%) appears to be a short-lived spike, not a stable equilibrium. 72h range: 7.5%-68.5% (midpoint: 38.0%). Distance from midpoint: 30.5pp vs move_size: 10.0pp (ratio: 3.0x > 1.5x limit).
step post-omit
● executed
news watch (A.2 / A.3)
watch: 2b797361
status:
⏳ expired
armed: 2026-05-09T11:55Z
closed: 2026-05-10T11:56Z
polls: 6
signals seen: 2188
decision price: 61.5pct