← all positions
● OPEN · BUY_YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 15d9c4bb-788a-4da8-b335-a415031938cb
· signal: 4f612080
· event: Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
entered
signal:
exited
still open
resolves
prices (BUY_YES frame)
entry
—
target
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stop
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exit
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size
$—
pnl $
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pnl %
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decision context
direction: UP
conviction: HIGH
opportunity: LARGE
broker: paper
Assessment: UNDERPRICED Conviction: HIGH Size: LARGE Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = Democrats win both the U.S. Senate and the U.S. House in 2026; NO = Democrats fail to control at least one chamber. Trend is DOWN, pricing in the NO-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: NEUTRAL Price move direction: DOWN (from 50% to 40%) Alignment: N/A Theta: NEUTRAL — no deadline No DIRECT, resolutio
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 1190 | 0.4200 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 |
re-evaluation history Phase 2 trigger detector + Stage 1 cheap filter + Stage 2 gpt-5 verdict · shows what news fired the trigger and how the LLM re-judged it
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions about the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions about the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline does not introduce new information that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape or impact trading positions.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.32 )
- 2026-05-09T17:21 [Bangor Daily News] Maine Democrats shelve criticism of national party's Joe Baldacci endorsement
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions about the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The call for a congressional declaration of war is a specific opinion and does not change the overall election dynamics or previously known information.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.34 )
- 2026-05-10T21:41 [WMUR9] Scott Brown calls for congressional declaration of war if Iran conflict escalates | CloseUp
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The headline about Trump rejecting the Iranian draft does not directly impact the balance of power in the Senate or House elections.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.33 )
- 2026-05-11T01:20 [Dimsum Daily] Trump rejects Iranian draft seeking ceasefire and sanctions relief
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions about the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline about GOP infighting over payments does not directly impact the balance of power in Congress or the election landscape already established.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.34 )
- 2026-05-11T15:46 [Raw Story] Nuclear debate stalls as GOP infighting erupts over payments
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on international diplomacy unrelated to the domestic political landscape impacting the 2026 elections.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.28 )
- 2026-05-11T21:18 [Middle East Eye] Qatar, Kuwait urge diplomacy to sustain US-Iran ceasefire
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions about the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The loss of a GOP primary by a secretary of state questioning election security could impact perceptions of election integrity and voter sentiment, influencing the overall political landscape.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
YES
/ MEDIUM
· UNDERPRICED
verdict held: entry=YES/HIGH new=YES/MEDIUM
evidence news (1 items · score 0.26 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-13T14:43 [NBC News] Nebraska secretary of state loses GOP primary to challenger questioning election security
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The loss of a GOP primary by a secretary of state questioning election security could impact perceptions of election integrity and voter sentiment, influencing the overall political landscape.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
YES
/ MEDIUM
· UNDERPRICED
verdict held: entry=YES/HIGH new=YES/MEDIUM
evidence news (1 items · score 0.28 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-13T14:32 [Yahoo] Nebraska secretary of state loses GOP primary to challenger questioning election security
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or developments that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the election landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that significantly alter the existing narrative or predictions for the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information that significantly alters the existing narrative or predictions regarding the 2026 elections.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant developments in Senate negotiations that could impact legislative priorities and party dynamics ahead of the elections.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
YES
/ MEDIUM
· UNDERPRICED
verdict held: entry=YES/HIGH new=YES/MEDIUM
evidence news (2 items · score 0.67 )
- 2026-05-11T14:24 [Bitcoin Magazine] Senate Schedules CLARITY Act Markup As Banking Lobby, Democrats Mount Resistance - Bitcoin Magazine
- 2026-05-14T05:57 [Coinpedia - Fintec] CLARITY Act Negotiations Stall Overnight As Senate Markup Looms This Morning
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not introduce new information or insights that would significantly alter the existing understanding of the political landscape.
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_YES", "entry_price": 0.42, "size_usd": 500.0, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345, "broker": "paper"}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.319, "hours_since_peak": 97.319, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.427, "hours_since_peak": 97.427, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.477, "hours_since_peak": 97.477, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.528, "hours_since_peak": 97.528, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.579, "hours_since_peak": 97.579, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.631, "hours_since_peak": 97.631, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.684, "hours_since_peak": 97.684, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.736, "hours_since_peak": 97.736, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.791, "hours_since_peak": 97.791, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.844, "hours_since_peak": 97.844, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.894, "hours_since_peak": 97.894, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.945, "hours_since_peak": 97.945, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 97.995, "hours_since_peak": 97.995, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.046, "hours_since_peak": 98.046, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.096, "hours_since_peak": 98.096, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.146, "hours_since_peak": 98.146, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.196, "hours_since_peak": 98.196, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.221, "hours_since_peak": 98.221, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.271, "hours_since_peak": 98.271, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 98.321, "hours_since_peak": 98.321, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 104.965, "hours_since_peak": 104.965, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.015, "hours_since_peak": 105.015, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.065, "hours_since_peak": 105.065, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.115, "hours_since_peak": 105.115, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.166, "hours_since_peak": 105.166, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.216, "hours_since_peak": 105.216, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.266, "hours_since_peak": 105.266, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.316, "hours_since_peak": 105.316, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.366, "hours_since_peak": 105.366, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.416, "hours_since_peak": 105.416, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.466, "hours_since_peak": 105.466, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.516, "hours_since_peak": 105.516, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.566, "hours_since_peak": 105.566, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.616, "hours_since_peak": 105.616, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.666, "hours_since_peak": 105.666, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.717, "hours_since_peak": 105.717, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.767, "hours_since_peak": 105.767, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.817, "hours_since_peak": 105.817, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.867, "hours_since_peak": 105.867, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.917, "hours_since_peak": 105.917, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 105.967, "hours_since_peak": 105.967, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.017, "hours_since_peak": 106.017, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.067, "hours_since_peak": 106.067, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.117, "hours_since_peak": 106.117, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.167, "hours_since_peak": 106.167, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.217, "hours_since_peak": 106.217, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.268, "hours_since_peak": 106.268, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.318, "hours_since_peak": 106.318, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.368, "hours_since_peak": 106.368, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.418, "hours_since_peak": 106.418, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.468, "hours_since_peak": 106.468, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.518, "hours_since_peak": 106.518, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.568, "hours_since_peak": 106.568, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.618, "hours_since_peak": 106.618, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 106.668, "hours_since_peak": 106.668, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.169, "hours_since_peak": 107.169, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.219, "hours_since_peak": 107.219, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.269, "hours_since_peak": 107.269, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.319, "hours_since_peak": 107.319, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.369, "hours_since_peak": 107.369, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.419, "hours_since_peak": 107.419, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}
mfe_giveback_v2_suppressed
{"rule_version": "v2_b3_plus_cooldown", "old_v1_would_fire": true, "suppressed_by": "giveback_lt_threshold_3.60pp", "gate_n_hours": true, "gate_min_floor": true, "gate_giveback": false, "gate_peak_cooldown": true, "mfe_peak_pp": 2.0000000000000018, "current_drift_pp": 0.0, "giveback_threshold_pp": 3.6, "entry_range_72h_pp": 9.0, "hours_held": 107.448, "hours_since_peak": 107.448, "side_avg_now": 0.42, "entry_price": 0.42, "target_price": 0.485, "stop_price": 0.345}