← all positions
○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 587bb7bc-5c17-4b07-a745-3e189fa3d159
· signal: d09ba4de
· event: Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● TAKE PROFIT
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+3.03
pnl %
+6.06%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: SMALL
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: SMALL Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = Iran explicitly agrees to end uranium enrichment by June 30 (deal/commitment language); NO = talks stall, preconditions harden, or only pressure/no agreement. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=2, D=3, L=0 (R=0 unverified); status-quo pressure (e.g., blockade) collapsed as one D per cessation rules. Incremental only: E=2, D=3 (priced-in: E=1, D=1). Self-check: no change. Theta direct
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 76 | 0.6600 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 | |
| CLOSE | 76 | 0.7000 | 0.7000 → 0.7000 (1 lvl) | TP | $+3.03 |
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.66, "size_usd": 50.0, "target_price": 0.695, "stop_price": 0.615, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_bid": 0.28, "yes_ask": 0.3, "yes_mid": 0.29, "yes_spread_pp": 2.0, "walk_levels_used": 1, "walk_top_fill": 0.7, "walk_top_size": 160.0, "walk_filled_shares": 75.76, "walk_unfilled_shares": 0.0, "walk_avg_fill": 0.7, "walk_slippage_pp": 0.0, "side_bid_top": 0.7, "side_bid": 0.7, "side_mid": 0.71, "fill_price": 0.7, "fill_shares": 75.76, "is_partial": false, "remaining_before": 75.76, "target_price": 0.695, "stop_price": 0.615, "entry_price": 0.66, "original_size_shares": 75.75757575757575, "fill_pnl_pct": 6.06, "fill_pnl_usd": 3.0303, "pnl_pct_mid": 7.58, "pnl_pct_top": 6.06, "trigger_vs_level_pp": 0.5, "fill_id": "6cf7a30b-d307-46ba-85b5-6cef68720022"}