← all positions
○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 7eb76a29-ceeb-4d5a-a28a-cd7078e5284d
· signal: fd731b9b
· event: West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● TAKE PROFIT
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+7.23
pnl %
+10.33%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: LARGE
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: LARGE Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = BJP likely to win the most seats; NO = TMC/others retain plurality. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: NEUTRAL Price move direction: UP (from 49% to 59%) Alignment: N/A Theta: NEUTRAL — no hard rule No Strong Divergence exists; instead, the price rose without any DIRE
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.448, "size_usd": 70.0, "target_price": 0.4943, "stop_price": 0.379, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_midpoint": 0.5045, "side_price": 0.4955, "exit_price": 0.4943, "target_price": 0.4943, "stop_price": 0.379, "entry_price": 0.448, "size_shares": 156.25, "pnl_pct": 10.33, "pnl_usd": 7.2344, "observed_slippage_pp": 0.12}