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○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: d283ba4f-36e6-4cb3-b8c5-c832a97f0698
· signal: 382d3075
· event: Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● TAKE PROFIT
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+7.42
pnl %
+12.50%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: LARGE
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: LARGE Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = Musk secures a court victory/judgment in his favor; NO = Altman/OpenAI prevail or case otherwise resolves against Musk. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: NEUTRAL Price move direction: UP (from 34% to 47%) Alignment: N/A Theta: NEUTRAL — no deadline No Logical or Stro
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 106 | 0.5600 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 | |
| CLOSE | 106 | 0.6300 | 0.6300 → 0.6300 (1 lvl) | TP | $+7.42 |
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.56, "size_usd": 59.32, "target_price": 0.626, "stop_price": 0.484, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_bid": 0.36, "yes_ask": 0.37, "yes_mid": 0.365, "yes_spread_pp": 1.0, "walk_levels_used": 1, "walk_top_fill": 0.63, "walk_top_size": 269.41, "walk_filled_shares": 105.93, "walk_unfilled_shares": 0.0, "walk_avg_fill": 0.63, "walk_slippage_pp": -0.0, "side_bid_top": 0.63, "side_bid": 0.63, "side_mid": 0.635, "fill_price": 0.63, "fill_shares": 105.93, "is_partial": false, "remaining_before": 105.93, "target_price": 0.626, "stop_price": 0.484, "entry_price": 0.56, "original_size_shares": 105.92857142857142, "fill_pnl_pct": 12.5, "fill_pnl_usd": 7.415, "pnl_pct_mid": 13.39, "pnl_pct_top": 12.5, "trigger_vs_level_pp": 0.4, "fill_id": "43749e22-c03b-4cef-bd29-ea6992058f5a"}