← all positions
○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: dbd92569-6673-4021-a0cb-e889b1f07307
· signal: 2e25dcd1
· event: Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● STOP LOSS
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$-4.29
pnl %
-7.14%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: SMALL
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: SMALL Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = Netanyahu is the next Israeli PM after the upcoming election/next government formation; NO = someone else forms the next government. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=1, L=0 (R=0 unverified), with 3 articles grouped into 1 distinct incremental event (Bennett–Lapid merger against Netanyahu). Incremental only: E=0, D=1 (priced-in: E=0, D=3 — Bennett announces run; Temple Mount tens
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 107 | 0.5600 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 | |
| CLOSE | 107 | 0.5200 | 0.5200 → 0.5200 (1 lvl) | SL | $-4.29 |
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.56, "size_usd": 60.0, "target_price": 0.585, "stop_price": 0.524, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_bid": 0.46, "yes_ask": 0.48, "yes_mid": 0.47, "yes_spread_pp": 2.0, "walk_levels_used": 1, "walk_top_fill": 0.52, "walk_top_size": 147.18, "walk_filled_shares": 107.14, "walk_unfilled_shares": 0.0, "walk_avg_fill": 0.52, "walk_slippage_pp": 0.0, "side_bid_top": 0.52, "side_bid": 0.52, "side_mid": 0.53, "fill_price": 0.52, "fill_shares": 107.14, "is_partial": false, "remaining_before": 107.14, "target_price": 0.585, "stop_price": 0.524, "entry_price": 0.56, "original_size_shares": 107.14285714285714, "fill_pnl_pct": -7.14, "fill_pnl_usd": -4.2857, "pnl_pct_mid": -5.36, "pnl_pct_top": -7.14, "trigger_vs_level_pp": -0.4, "fill_id": "253347bb-6267-436a-9933-5a311b3c2a2e"}