Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? ↗

Price fell 9.2pp from 85.0% to 75.8% over 1h (spike). Now at 75.8%.

Days to resolution: 67 days. Theta-bleed is active (deadline < 90 days, trend is DOWN, positive action required for YES), so in the absence of progress, price should drift downward. Step 1a: There are zero ★DIRECT events—no news directly referencing the location or scheduling of a US-Iran diplomatic meeting in Pakistan. The trend is DOWN (NO becoming more likely), and the news is STARVED for direct signals; all coverage is CONTEXT, with some noting "stalled" US-Iran talks and Pakistan's mediator role being "recalibrated" or diminished. No articles report a meeting scheduled, confirmed, or even credibly rumored for Pakistan. The story is not intensifying—it's plateauing or fading, with most articles echoing broader diplomatic and sporting controversies, not concrete process steps toward a Pakistan meeting. Momentum signals: trend=0, counter=0. Remaining space: 25.8pp. Step 3 hard rule check: No news-trend conflict, not mixed, not spike exhaustion (move is a spike but with no direct catalyst, so not a reversal candidate), theta-bleed supports further drift down in the absence of progress, and boundary is not yet deep (≥5pp space left).