Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? ↗

Price rose 8.1pp from 62.2% to 70.3% over 36.5h (spike), then reversed. Now at 68.3%, down 2.0pp from peak, 7.5h after the peak. [Prior context: 24h ago: 61.4%, 72h range: 58.0%-70.3%]

Semantic Polarity: YES = next US–Iran diplomatic meeting takes place in Pakistan (e.g., Islamabad announced/scheduled); NO = next meeting occurs elsewhere or Pakistan plan falls through. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. Momentum check: E=1, D=3, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=1, D=3 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. 
Theta direction: NEUTRAL
Price move direction: UP (from 62% to 70%)
Alignment: N/A
Theta: NEUTRAL — venue market
Logical Divergence: None (no Strong Divergence; opposing D<4 after deduping). The key venue-specific signal is multiple reports (WSJ-sourced) that US–Iran talks may resume next week in Islamabad, directly supportive of YES, while counter-signals (talks “stalled,” Iran reviewing with “no deadlines,” hardline pushback) reduce near-term timing confidence but do not point to an alternative venue. Given a credible venue report, an 8pp repricing is consistent with process-level but resolution-adjacent news; absent any verified denial or confirmation of a different location, the move is largely justified and the small pullback looks like normal digestion rather than a clear overreaction.

the deterministic planner rejected this trade. typical causes: poor R:R, spread exceeds gap, settlement danger zone, market too close to resolution. LLM assessment is above (Stage 6); planner is a pure-math gate layered on top.