Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? ↗

Price rose 10.0pp from 9.5% to 19.5% over 37.0h (back_loaded), then reversed. Now at 17.5%, down 2.0pp from peak, 2.0h after the peak.

Semantic Polarity: YES = Trump announces Lee Zeldin as AG by June 30; NO = no such announcement by June 30. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified).
Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0).
Self-check: no change.
Theta direction: DOWN
Price move direction: UP (from 10% to 20%)
Alignment: OPPOSITE
Theta: DOWN — opposed
No Logical or Strong Divergence signals exist, but the 10pp back-loaded rise occurred with zero ★ DIRECT or process signals, and it runs counter to time decay. No ★ DIRECT evidence of an announcement or formal nomination—nothing in the feed satisfies the settlement criterion; one item is generic odds commentary and another is unrelated state AG coverage. Given a 10pp spike on thin, non-direct news and opposed to theta, this looks like flow/rumor chasing; expect partial reversion from ~18% toward prior levels.