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● OPEN · BUY_NO
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 757a75e7-661e-467e-af82-051e3cc8a117
· signal: d596f27b
· event: Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General by June 30?
entered
signal:
exited
still open
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
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target
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stop
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exit
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size
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pnl $
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pnl %
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decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: HIGH
opportunity: LARGE
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: HIGH Size: LARGE Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = Trump announces Lee Zeldin as AG by June 30; NO = no such announcement by June 30. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. Momentum check: E=0, D=0, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=0 (priced-in: E=0, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: DOWN Price move direction: UP (from 10% to 20%) Alignment: OPPOSITE Theta: DOWN — opposed No Logical or Strong Divergence signals exist, but the 10pp back-l
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 24 | 0.8300 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 |
re-evaluation history Phase 2 trigger detector + Stage 1 cheap filter + Stage 2 gpt-5 verdict · shows what news fired the trigger and how the LLM re-judged it
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide any new information regarding Trump's potential announcement of Lee Zeldin as Attorney General.
evidence news (9 items · score 2.74 )
- 2026-05-10T18:53 [International Busi] 'He's Certainly a Popular Guy': Donald Trump's Candid Remark About Barron Fuels Fresh Speculation Over a Political Dynasty
- 2026-05-11T17:15 [bbntimes.com] Keir Starmer Announces Plans to Nationalise British Steel Amid Efforts to Secure Domestic Production
- 2026-05-11T17:51 [ExBulletin] Who could challenge Keir Starmer for the position of British Prime Minister? Meet the Candidates | political news - ExBulletin
- 2026-05-11T18:49 [EXPRESS] Sky News abruptly halted for bombshell Keir Starmer announcement
- 2026-05-12T16:25 [EXPRESS] Sky News halts for breaking announcement - and it's disastrous for Starmer
- 2026-05-12T17:50 [DeFi Rate] Who Trump Announce as Next Attorney General? - DeFi Rate
- 2026-05-12T18:21 [Internewscast Jour] Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Governor: A Step Toward Potential Powell Succession - Internewscast Journal
- 2026-05-13T09:15 [Benzinga] Benjamin Lucas appointed Chief Executive Officer of Aztec Group
- 2026-05-13T09:30 [Daily Star] Keir Starmer pressure mounts as 'no confidence vote' demand made
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide any new information regarding Trump's potential announcement of Lee Zeldin as Attorney General.
evidence news (9 items · score 2.74 )
- 2026-05-10T18:53 [International Busi] 'He's Certainly a Popular Guy': Donald Trump's Candid Remark About Barron Fuels Fresh Speculation Over a Political Dynasty
- 2026-05-11T17:15 [bbntimes.com] Keir Starmer Announces Plans to Nationalise British Steel Amid Efforts to Secure Domestic Production
- 2026-05-11T17:51 [ExBulletin] Who could challenge Keir Starmer for the position of British Prime Minister? Meet the Candidates | political news - ExBulletin
- 2026-05-11T18:49 [EXPRESS] Sky News abruptly halted for bombshell Keir Starmer announcement
- 2026-05-12T16:25 [EXPRESS] Sky News halts for breaking announcement - and it's disastrous for Starmer
- 2026-05-12T17:50 [DeFi Rate] Who Trump Announce as Next Attorney General? - DeFi Rate
- 2026-05-12T18:21 [Internewscast Jour] Kevin Warsh Confirmed as Fed Governor: A Step Toward Potential Powell Succession - Internewscast Journal
- 2026-05-13T09:15 [Benzinga] Benjamin Lucas appointed Chief Executive Officer of Aztec Group
- 2026-05-13T09:30 [Daily Star] Keir Starmer pressure mounts as 'no confidence vote' demand made
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on the Federal Reserve and do not provide any relevant information regarding Trump's potential announcement of Lee Zeldin as Attorney General.
evidence news (3 items · score 0.95 )
- 2026-05-13T19:11 [u.today] Breaking: Federal Reserve Now Has New Pro-Crypto Chair - U.Today
- 2026-05-13T23:30 [UPI] Warsh confirmed as Federal Reserve chief to follow Jerome Powell - UPI.com
- 2026-05-13T23:59 [Deseret News] Fed chair Jerome Powell's successor just got confirmed
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information or insights regarding Trump's potential announcement of Lee Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information or insights regarding Trump's potential announcement of Lee Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$)
NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide new information about Trump's potential announcement of Zeldin as Attorney General.
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.83, "size_usd": 20.0, "target_price": 0.99, "stop_price": 0.58, "broker": "paper"}