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○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 2b6c7cfc-ca0a-482e-89fa-a06d6d0467ec
· signal: d4e823a3
· event: US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● TAKE PROFIT
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+9.79
pnl %
+32.65%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: SMALL
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: SMALL Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = a confirmed US–Iran diplomatic meeting occurs by Apr 22; NO = no such meeting or only one side shows with no bilateral meeting. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=2, D=5, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=2, D=5 (priced-in: E=1, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: DOWN Price move direction: UP (from 74% to 84%) Alignment: OPPOSITE Theta: DOWN — opposed Logical Diverge
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.17, "size_usd": 30.0, "target_price": 0.2255, "stop_price": 0.09, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_midpoint": 0.765, "side_price": 0.235, "exit_price": 0.2255, "target_price": 0.2255, "stop_price": 0.09, "entry_price": 0.17, "size_shares": 176.47058823529412, "pnl_pct": 32.65, "pnl_usd": 9.7941, "observed_slippage_pp": 0.95}