← all positions
○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 68262e2f-1544-45f2-87cb-cca448d37291
· signal: b1339632
· event: West Bengal Legislative Assembly Election Winner
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● TAKE PROFIT
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+4.04
pnl %
+10.09%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: SMALL
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: SMALL Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = BJP wins the most seats; NO = TMC/another party wins more seats. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World, despite no direct resolution evidence. Momentum check: E=0, D=2, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=0, D=1 (priced-in: E=0, D=1). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: NEUTRAL Price move direction: UP (from 50% to 60%) Alignment: N/A Theta: NEUTRAL — neutral Logical Divergence: Yes — price rose w
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 92 | 0.4360 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 | |
| CLOSE | 92 | 0.4800 | 0.4800 → 0.4800 (1 lvl) | TP | $+4.04 |
event timeline
ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.436, "size_usd": 40.0, "target_price": 0.478, "stop_price": 0.376, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_bid": 0.519, "yes_ask": 0.52, "yes_mid": 0.5195, "yes_spread_pp": 0.1, "walk_levels_used": 1, "walk_top_fill": 0.48, "walk_top_size": 119.95, "walk_filled_shares": 91.74, "walk_unfilled_shares": 0.0, "walk_avg_fill": 0.48, "walk_slippage_pp": 0.0, "side_bid_top": 0.48, "side_bid": 0.48, "side_mid": 0.4805, "fill_price": 0.48, "fill_shares": 91.74, "is_partial": false, "remaining_before": 91.74, "target_price": 0.478, "stop_price": 0.376, "entry_price": 0.436, "original_size_shares": 91.74311926605505, "fill_pnl_pct": 10.09, "fill_pnl_usd": 4.0367, "pnl_pct_mid": 10.21, "pnl_pct_top": 10.09, "trigger_vs_level_pp": 0.2, "fill_id": "c0531d8a-4c01-4132-be7c-ab9c211a7db4"}