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○ CLOSED · BUY_NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
· polymarket ↗
position_id: 68b134bf-035c-4fe7-8b75-f709ca20dcbb
· signal: 3fe25428
· event: US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
entered
signal:
exited
reason:
● MFE GIVEBACK
resolves
prices (BUY_NO frame)
entry
—
target
—
stop
—
exit
—
size
$—
pnl $
$+31.70
pnl %
+15.85%
decision context
direction: DOWN
conviction: MEDIUM
opportunity: LARGE
broker: paper
Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: LARGE Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = a formal, permanent US–Iran peace deal is signed/announced by the deadline; NO = no such agreement. Trend is UP, pricing in YES-World. Momentum check: E=2, D=1, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=2, D=1 (priced-in: E=3, D=2). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: DOWN Price move direction: UP (from 34% to 58%) Alignment: OPPOSITE Theta: DOWN — opposed No Strong Divergence; momentum modestly support
fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl
| when | type | shares | price | walk top → avg | reason | pnl $ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 426 | 0.4700 | — | OPEN | $+0.00 | |
| CLOSE | 426 | 0.5445 | 0.5500 → 0.5445 (2 lvl) | MFE_GIVEBACK | $+31.70 |
re-evaluation history Phase 2 trigger detector + Stage 1 cheap filter + Stage 2 gpt-5 verdict · shows what news fired the trigger and how the LLM re-judged it
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate a shift in Iran's demands and the US's skepticism, suggesting potential obstacles that could impact the peace deal timeline.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 22.66 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-03T11:45 [Daily Sabah] Trump offers cold shoulder to Iran's new 14-point peace plan
- 2026-05-03T13:06 [The Express Tribun] Iran envoy criticises US behaviour as aggressive, says talks hinge on Washington's sincerity
- 2026-05-03T13:33 [GEO TV] Iranian envoy reaffirms Pakistan's 'central role' in ongoing talks with US
- 2026-05-03T13:39 [ITV Hub] Iran demands 30-day end to war but 'won't back down' on Strait of Hormuz
- 2026-05-03T14:03 [THE LOCAL REPORT A] Iran conveys new proposals to US to break deadlock in peace talks - THE LOCAL REPORT ARTICLES
- 2026-05-03T14:18 [gistmania.com] Trump Studies Iran's 14-Point Peace Plan As Hormuz Blockade, Nuclear Deadlock Cloud Talks
- 2026-05-03T14:44 [Le Monde.fr] Iran says US military operation 'impossible' as Trump mulls peace proposal
- 2026-05-03T14:45 [GV Wire] What to Know About the U.S.-Iran Peace Talks
- 2026-05-03T15:00 [The Frontier Post] Iran says US must change approach for talks to advance; proposal sent via Pakistan
- 2026-05-03T15:12 [ExBulletin] Trump casts doubt on Iran peace deal, says Tehran didn't 'pay a high enough price' | US-Israeli war against Iran - ExBulletin
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate a shift in Iran's demands and the US's skepticism, suggesting potential obstacles that could impact the peace deal timeline.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 22.66 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-03T11:45 [Daily Sabah] Trump offers cold shoulder to Iran's new 14-point peace plan
- 2026-05-03T13:06 [The Express Tribun] Iran envoy criticises US behaviour as aggressive, says talks hinge on Washington's sincerity
- 2026-05-03T13:33 [GEO TV] Iranian envoy reaffirms Pakistan's 'central role' in ongoing talks with US
- 2026-05-03T13:39 [ITV Hub] Iran demands 30-day end to war but 'won't back down' on Strait of Hormuz
- 2026-05-03T14:03 [THE LOCAL REPORT A] Iran conveys new proposals to US to break deadlock in peace talks - THE LOCAL REPORT ARTICLES
- 2026-05-03T14:18 [gistmania.com] Trump Studies Iran's 14-Point Peace Plan As Hormuz Blockade, Nuclear Deadlock Cloud Talks
- 2026-05-03T14:44 [Le Monde.fr] Iran says US military operation 'impossible' as Trump mulls peace proposal
- 2026-05-03T14:45 [GV Wire] What to Know About the U.S.-Iran Peace Talks
- 2026-05-03T15:00 [The Frontier Post] Iran says US must change approach for talks to advance; proposal sent via Pakistan
- 2026-05-03T15:12 [ExBulletin] Trump casts doubt on Iran peace deal, says Tehran didn't 'pay a high enough price' | US-Israeli war against Iran - ExBulletin
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines introduce significant political dynamics, particularly the involvement of a new negotiator and Pakistan's stance, which could impact perceptions of the peace deal's viability.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (3 items · score 1.53 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T10:01 [scheerpost.com] Trump's New Iran Negotiator Is Israel Lobbyist Who Denounced Negotiations With Iran
- 2026-05-06T10:16 [Mehr News Agency] Pakistan welcomes US withdrawal from the Strait of Hormuz
- 2026-05-06T10:19 [CBS News] Live Updates: Iran quiet as Trump says Strait of Hormuz effort paused amid "great progress" toward peace deal
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress and a potential breakthrough in negotiations, which could materially affect market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 8.72 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T09:34 [Investing.com Indi] Rupee rises as oil prices drop on U.S.-Iran peace deal reports By Investing.com
- 2026-05-06T10:01 [scheerpost.com] Trump's New Iran Negotiator Is Israel Lobbyist Who Denounced Negotiations With Iran
- 2026-05-06T10:13 [Pajhwok Afghan New] Iran to accept only 'fair, comprehensive agreement' with US: Araghchi
- 2026-05-06T10:13 [Hurriyet Daily New] Washington believes close to deal with Iran: Axios - World News
- 2026-05-06T10:16 [Mehr News Agency] Pakistan welcomes US withdrawal from the Strait of Hormuz
- 2026-05-06T10:19 [CBS News] Live Updates: Iran quiet as Trump says Strait of Hormuz effort paused amid "great progress" toward peace deal
- 2026-05-06T10:21 [New York Post] US, Iran 'getting close' to agreeing deal to end war after 67 days
- 2026-05-06T10:32 [Daily Times] US Iran deal talks move closer to breakthrough - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T10:36 [Benzinga] US And Iran Close To Finalizing Agreement To End War, Initiate Comprehensive Nuclear Discussions: Report
- 2026-05-06T10:38 [@businessline] Rupee jumps by most in a month on hopes of US-Iran peace deal
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: New headlines indicate significant progress towards a deal, suggesting a potential breakthrough that could impact market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 7.19 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T09:34 [Investing.com Indi] Rupee rises as oil prices drop on U.S.-Iran peace deal reports By Investing.com
- 2026-05-06T10:13 [Pajhwok Afghan New] Iran to accept only 'fair, comprehensive agreement' with US: Araghchi
- 2026-05-06T10:13 [Hurriyet Daily New] Washington believes close to deal with Iran: Axios - World News
- 2026-05-06T10:21 [New York Post] US, Iran 'getting close' to agreeing deal to end war after 67 days
- 2026-05-06T10:32 [Daily Times] US Iran deal talks move closer to breakthrough - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T10:36 [Benzinga] US And Iran Close To Finalizing Agreement To End War, Initiate Comprehensive Nuclear Discussions: Report
- 2026-05-06T10:38 [@businessline] Rupee jumps by most in a month on hopes of US-Iran peace deal
- 2026-05-06T10:39 [Blockonomi] U.S. Stock Futures Rally on Iran Peace Deal Hopes and Tech Earnings -- May 6 - Blockonomi
- 2026-05-06T10:40 [NewsDrum] Stock markets rally as oil prices decline amid progress in US-Iran talks; Sensex jumps 940 pts
- 2026-05-06T10:45 [Deccan Chronicle] Deal to End US-Iran War Is Close: Pak Sources
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate a closer proximity to a peace deal and renewed optimism, which could significantly impact market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (5 items · score 2.52 )
- 2026-05-05T18:20 [Crypto Briefing] Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
- 2026-05-06T10:59 [Barchart.com] Nasdaq Futures Rally on Upbeat AMD Earnings and U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Optimism
- 2026-05-06T11:02 [Daily Times] US Iran nuclear deal negotiations move closer - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T11:13 [Market Screener] US and Iran reportedly closer to peace deal
- 2026-05-06T11:21 [London South East] European gas prices extend falls on potential US-Iran deal | Financial News
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate a closer proximity to a peace deal and renewed optimism, which could significantly impact market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (5 items · score 2.52 )
- 2026-05-05T18:20 [Crypto Briefing] Trump comments dampen US-Iran diplomatic meeting prospects
- 2026-05-06T10:59 [Barchart.com] Nasdaq Futures Rally on Upbeat AMD Earnings and U.S.-Iran Peace Deal Optimism
- 2026-05-06T11:02 [Daily Times] US Iran nuclear deal negotiations move closer - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T11:13 [Market Screener] US and Iran reportedly closer to peace deal
- 2026-05-06T11:21 [London South East] European gas prices extend falls on potential US-Iran deal | Financial News
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress towards a preliminary deal and a specific framework, which could alter market expectations and sentiment.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 8.38 )
- 2026-05-06T09:37 [Цензор.НЕТ] US and Iran near agreement on memorandum to end war, Axios says
- 2026-05-06T10:03 [The New Arab] US and Iran 'closing in' on one-page memo to end war: Axios
- 2026-05-06T10:10 [Anadolu Ajansı] US, Iran nearing framework memo to end war, launch nuclear talks, report says
- 2026-05-06T10:32 [News18] Pakistan Says US, Iran Closing In On One-Page Memo To Begin Nuclear Talks, End War
- 2026-05-06T10:39 [thedailyjagran.com] US And Iran Close To One-Page Deal To End War: What Does The Framework Include?
- 2026-05-06T10:41 [Free Press Journal] US-Iran Near Preliminary Deal To End War; 14-Point Framework Under Discussion: Report
- 2026-05-06T10:59 [Khyber News -Offic] US Iran Ceasefire Agreement Nears as Draft Deal Signals Major Diplomatic Breakthrough - Pashto News and Current Affairs Channel | Khyber News
- 2026-05-06T11:00 [The Business Times] Oil and gas slump after report US and Iran near deal to end war
- 2026-05-06T11:01 [Business Upturn] US-Iran talks hint at blockade easing, but final deal still uncertain - Business Upturn
- 2026-05-06T11:12 [Business Upturn] "Mood was high": White House signals progress in Iran talks amid fragile diplomacy - Business Upturn
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress towards a preliminary agreement, which could shift market sentiment and expectations.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 8.74 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06 [?] Iran says it wants a 'comprehensive agreement' with US
- 2026-05-06 [?] US, Iran Closing In On One-page Memo To End War: Report
- 2026-05-06T07:20 [SGT Report] Trump Pauses Project Freedom Amid "Great Progress" Towards 'Complete & Final' Agreement With Iran
- 2026-05-06T09:05 [Tribune] What Jerry Moran said of recent disagreements with Trump administration
- 2026-05-06T09:49 [Modern Diplomacy] US Iran deal memo talks gain momentum after Trump pauses Strait mission
- 2026-05-06T10:03 [United News of Ind] Iran seeks 'fair' peace deal with US, says Iranian FM Araghchi
- 2026-05-06T10:27 [Yeni Şafak] US, Iran nearing preliminary agreement to end war, Axios reports
- 2026-05-06T10:57 [Aol] Trump and Pakistan optimistic about a peace deal, but Iran yet to react - AOL
- 2026-05-06T11:13 [Market Screener] TSX futures climb over 1% on rising U.S.-Iran peace deal hopes
- 2026-05-06T11:15 [Global Banking & F] UK Stocks Rise Over 2% Amid US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes | FTSE 100 News
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress towards a preliminary agreement and a specific 14-point memorandum, which could alter market expectations.
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evidence news (10 items · score 17.13 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06 [?] Iran says it wants a 'comprehensive agreement' with US
- 2026-05-06 [?] US, Iran Closing In On One-page Memo To End War: Report
- 2026-05-06T07:15 [Proactiveinvestors] FTSE 100 Live: Fresnillo and Rolls lead soaring stocks as US 'close to' Iran deal
- 2026-05-06T07:20 [SGT Report] Trump Pauses Project Freedom Amid "Great Progress" Towards 'Complete & Final' Agreement With Iran
- 2026-05-06T09:05 [Tribune] What Jerry Moran said of recent disagreements with Trump administration
- 2026-05-06T09:49 [Modern Diplomacy] US Iran deal memo talks gain momentum after Trump pauses Strait mission
- 2026-05-06T10:03 [United News of Ind] Iran seeks 'fair' peace deal with US, says Iranian FM Araghchi
- 2026-05-06T10:27 [Zee News] US-Iran nearing 14-point memorandum to end war: Reports
- 2026-05-06T10:27 [Yeni Şafak] US, Iran nearing preliminary agreement to end war, Axios reports
- 2026-05-06T10:53 [Morningstar] North American Morning Briefing: Oil Tumbles on Hopes for U.S.-Iran Deal
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress in negotiations with a specific memorandum draft, which could alter market expectations and sentiment.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 7.87 )
- 2026-05-06T07:15 [Proactiveinvestors] FTSE 100 Live: Fresnillo and Rolls lead soaring stocks as US 'close to' Iran deal
- 2026-05-06T10:27 [Zee News] US-Iran nearing 14-point memorandum to end war: Reports
- 2026-05-06T10:53 [Morningstar] North American Morning Briefing: Oil Tumbles on Hopes for U.S.-Iran Deal
- 2026-05-06T11:36 [The Statesman] US, Iran inch closer to 'end the war': 14-point memorandum draft signals substantive diplomatic progress
- 2026-05-06T11:38 [Oneindia] US-Iran Talks Reach Final Stage Over One-Page Memorandum to Halt War in Gulf: Report
- 2026-05-06T11:39 [Business Standard] Sensex soars 941 pts, Nifty tops 24,300 as US-Iran peace hopes ignite rally
- 2026-05-06T11:40 [Al-Monitor] US pauses Hormuz escort mission as Trump cites progress on Iran talks
- 2026-05-06T11:42 [Israel Hayom Engli] Deal to reopen Hormuz nears as Iran seeks frozen funds, sanctions relief
- 2026-05-06T12:22 [Daily Star] Trump warns Iran of intensified bombing if no peace deal is agreed
- 2026-05-06T12:25 [Business Upturn] US P resident Trump says 'too early' for peace deal with Iran, casts doubt on direct talks - Business Upturn
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: New headlines indicate a potential breakthrough in US-Iran talks and Trump's escalating threats, which could significantly impact market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 6.28 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T12:49 [Free Press Kashmir] US-Iran talks near possible breakthrough on war framework
- 2026-05-06T12:49 [The Media Line] Iran Reviews 14-Point US Proposal to End War and Restart Nuclear Talks
- 2026-05-06T12:57 [Market Screener] Markets surge on rumors of Iran deal
- 2026-05-06T13:19 [FXStreet] USD/CAD holds steady as US-Iran deal hopes pressure USD and drag Oil prices lower | FXStreet
- 2026-05-06T13:22 [24 News HD] Pakistani source says US and Iran closing in on memorandum to end war
- 2026-05-06T13:30 [see.news] Oil slides after Pakistani source says US and Iran are close to framework peace deal | Sada Elbalad
- 2026-05-06T13:38 [english.news.cn] Trump threatens to bomb Iran at much higher level if peace deal is not reached
- 2026-05-06T13:40 [RadioFreeEurope/Ra] Trump Warns Of 'Much Higher Level' Strikes If Iran Refuses Deal
- 2026-05-06T13:44 [Yonhap News Agency] Trump warns 'much higher-level' bombing will start if Iran does not agree to a deal | Yonhap News Agency
- 2026-05-06T13:47 [Al Jazeera Online] Araghchi in Beijing: How China could shape the direction of the US-Iran war
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress towards a specific 14-point memorandum and a 30-day negotiation window, which could alter market expectations.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 9.29 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T07:04 [BOE Report] Iran says it wants a 'comprehensive agreement' with US
- 2026-05-06T11:43 [Muvi Television Ho] Trump pauses Hormuz plan as peace deal nears; Primaries show split results - Muvi TV
- 2026-05-06T12:27 [India TV News] US and Iran nearing 14-point memorandum, launch 30-day negotiation window to end war: Reports
- 2026-05-06T12:33 [Palestine Chronicl] US-Iran Framework Talks Progress as Tehran Denies Active Nuclear Negotiations - Palestine Chronicle
- 2026-05-06T12:49 [Free Press Kashmir] US-Iran talks near possible breakthrough on war framework
- 2026-05-06T12:49 [The Media Line] Iran Reviews 14-Point US Proposal to End War and Restart Nuclear Talks
- 2026-05-06T12:57 [Market Screener] Markets surge on rumors of Iran deal
- 2026-05-06T13:19 [FXStreet] USD/CAD holds steady as US-Iran deal hopes pressure USD and drag Oil prices lower | FXStreet
- 2026-05-06T13:22 [24 News HD] Pakistani source says US and Iran closing in on memorandum to end war
- 2026-05-06T13:30 [see.news] Oil slides after Pakistani source says US and Iran are close to framework peace deal | Sada Elbalad
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: Trump's threats to resume bombing if Iran doesn't agree represent a significant escalation that could impact market sentiment and expectations for a peace deal.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 6.55 )
- 2026-05-06T10:10 [CNA] Stocks gain and oil slides after Iran peace deal report
- 2026-05-06T13:46 [Market Screener] TSX opens 1% up as miners gain on US-Iran peace deal hopes
- 2026-05-06T13:50 [The New Arab] Exclusive: Iran-US talks not yet at stage for agreement
- 2026-05-06T13:52 [Daily Times] Iran pushes for comprehensive US deal amid Gulf tensions - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T13:53 [WTAJ - www.wtaj.co] The Latest: Trump threatens bombing if Iran doesn't reopen strait amid report of deal to end the war
- 2026-05-06T13:53 [Mediaite] 'Terrible Deal': Fox's Hugh Hewitt Trashes Trump Peace Framework After Interviewing Him on Monday
- 2026-05-06T14:05 [From the Trenches ] Trump's new Iran negotiator is Israel lobbyist who denounced negotiations with Iran | From the Trenches World Report
- 2026-05-06T14:09 [UPI] Oil price plunges back below $100 on hopes of U.S.-Iran peace deal - UPI.com
- 2026-05-06T14:12 [KSBY] Trump threatens to resume bombing if Iran doesn't agree to peace deal
- 2026-05-06T14:13 [Daily Times] Oil prices fall below 100 dollars on Iran deal hopes - Daily Times
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: Trump's threats to resume bombing if Iran doesn't agree introduce significant new risk factors that could impact market sentiment.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (10 items · score 6.65 )
- 2026-05-06T10:10 [CNA] Stocks gain and oil slides after Iran peace deal report
- 2026-05-06T13:46 [Market Screener] TSX opens 1% up as miners gain on US-Iran peace deal hopes
- 2026-05-06T13:50 [The New Arab] Exclusive: Iran-US talks not yet at stage for agreement
- 2026-05-06T13:52 [Daily Times] Iran pushes for comprehensive US deal amid Gulf tensions - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T13:53 [WTAJ - www.wtaj.co] The Latest: Trump threatens bombing if Iran doesn't reopen strait amid report of deal to end the war
- 2026-05-06T13:53 [Mediaite] 'Terrible Deal': Fox's Hugh Hewitt Trashes Trump Peace Framework After Interviewing Him on Monday
- 2026-05-06T14:09 [UPI] Oil price plunges back below $100 on hopes of U.S.-Iran peace deal - UPI.com
- 2026-05-06T14:12 [KSBY] Trump threatens to resume bombing if Iran doesn't agree to peace deal
- 2026-05-06T14:13 [Daily Times] Oil prices fall below 100 dollars on Iran deal hopes - Daily Times
- 2026-05-06T14:19 [London South East] GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks gain and oil slides after Iran peace deal report | Financial News
HARD_TIER1
stage 1 (0.0001$)
YES_MATERIAL
YES_MATERIAL: The new headlines indicate significant progress towards a peace deal and include both optimistic developments and escalating threats, which could impact market sentiment and trading positions.
stage 2 (0.0000$)
NO
/ MEDIUM
· OVERPRICED
verdict held: entry=NO/MEDIUM new=NO/MEDIUM
evidence news (9 items · score 4.81 · tier-1 source)
- 2026-05-06T10:10 [CNA] Stocks jump and oil slides after Iran peace deal report
- 2026-05-06T12:56 [The Telegraph] US President Donald Trump threatens 'much higher level' attacks on Iran if they don't agree to peace deal
- 2026-05-06T14:12 [Sahara Reporters] Trump Threatens Massive Bombing Of Iran, Says ‘Epic Fury' Will End When Tehran Complies With Demands
- 2026-05-06T14:22 [FinanceFeeds] Global FX Market Summary: US-Iran Peace Hopes and Eurozone Stagflation, 6 May 2026 - FinanceFeeds
- 2026-05-06T14:35 [CNN International] US and Iran closing in on memorandum aimed at ending war, source says
- 2026-05-06T14:56 [Perth Now] Wall Street gains on AI optimism and Iran peace hopes
- 2026-05-06T14:57 [MEO] US, Iran 'close to deal' to end war as Pakistan signals breakthrough
- 2026-05-06T15:05 [TASS] Trump says too early to prepare for signing peace deal with Iran -- newspaper
- 2026-05-06T15:34 [Winnipeg Free Pres] Canadian and U.S. stock markets up on hopes of deal to end war in the Middle East
event timeline
ENTRY
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EXIT_SIGNAL
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