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○ CLOSED · BUY_NO

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · polymarket ↗
position_id: 7a42ab66-859a-46f9-aa8a-20dc22052395 · signal: 33151cd9 · event: Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
entered
signal:
exited
reason: THETA TIME STOP
resolves

prices (BUY_NO frame)

entry
target
stop
exit
size
$—
pnl $
$+1.54
pnl %
+1.54%

decision context

direction: DOWN conviction: MEDIUM opportunity: SMALL broker: paper

Assessment: OVERPRICED Conviction: MEDIUM Size: SMALL Reasoning: Semantic Polarity: YES = a signed Ukraine–Russia peace deal before 2027; NO = no signed deal by then. Trend is UP, pricing in the YES-World. Momentum check: E=5, D=3, L=0 (R=0 unverified). Incremental only: E=2, D=3 (priced-in: E=3, D=0). Self-check: no change. Theta direction: DOWN Price move direction: UP (from 30% to 38%) Alignment: OPPOSITE Theta: DOWN — opposed Logical Divergence: mild — price rose while incremental signals sl

fills ledger one row per OPEN / partial close / full close · partials accumulate into pnl

when type shares price walk top → avg reason pnl $
OPEN 154 0.6500 OPEN $+0.00
CLOSE 154 0.6600 0.6600 → 0.6600 (1 lvl) THETA_TIME_STOP $+1.54

re-evaluation history Phase 2 trigger detector + Stage 1 cheap filter + Stage 2 gpt-5 verdict · shows what news fired the trigger and how the LLM re-judged it

CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on US-Iran negotiations and do not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia peace deal.
evidence news (10 items · score 8.82 · tier-1 source)
  • 2026-05-07T06:41 [Market Screener] Dax expected to open flat as Iran negotiations take center stage
  • 2026-05-07T08:01 [Pakistan Observer] Islamabad may host US-Iran delegations next week as peace deal expected soon - Pakistan Observer
  • 2026-05-07T08:24 [24 News HD] FO says any US-Iran agreement In Pakistan would be an honour
  • 2026-05-07T08:45 [Al-Manar TV Lebano] Pakistan Voices Optimism on US-Iran Talks, Offers to Host Agreement Signing - Al-Manar TV Lebanon
  • 2026-05-07T11:04 [protothemanews.com] A three-stage plan is being studied by the US and Iran: Temporary agreement on a cessation of war and 30-day nuclear negotiations - ProtoThema English
  • 2026-05-07T14:58 [Naharnet] US reportedly seeks deescalation in Lebanon to cement ceasefire, advance negotiations
  • 2026-05-07T15:25 [CBS News] Trump claims Iran won't have nuclear weapons and deal is coming, Israel strikes in Lebanon resume
  • 2026-05-07T16:33 [Al Jazeera Online] US pushing Israeli de-escalation ahead of new talks: Lebanese official
  • 2026-05-07T16:43 [Yahoo! Finance] FTSE 100 tumbles as Iran peace deal hopes rise
  • 2026-05-07T16:44 [41NBC News | WMGT-] U.S.-Iran tensions continue as optimism grows for possible peace deal
CUMULATIVE
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on US-Iran negotiations and do not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia peace deal.
evidence news (10 items · score 8.82 · tier-1 source)
  • 2026-05-07T06:41 [Market Screener] Dax expected to open flat as Iran negotiations take center stage
  • 2026-05-07T08:01 [Pakistan Observer] Islamabad may host US-Iran delegations next week as peace deal expected soon - Pakistan Observer
  • 2026-05-07T08:24 [24 News HD] FO says any US-Iran agreement In Pakistan would be an honour
  • 2026-05-07T08:45 [Al-Manar TV Lebano] Pakistan Voices Optimism on US-Iran Talks, Offers to Host Agreement Signing - Al-Manar TV Lebanon
  • 2026-05-07T11:04 [protothemanews.com] A three-stage plan is being studied by the US and Iran: Temporary agreement on a cessation of war and 30-day nuclear negotiations - ProtoThema English
  • 2026-05-07T14:58 [Naharnet] US reportedly seeks deescalation in Lebanon to cement ceasefire, advance negotiations
  • 2026-05-07T15:25 [CBS News] Trump claims Iran won't have nuclear weapons and deal is coming, Israel strikes in Lebanon resume
  • 2026-05-07T16:33 [Al Jazeera Online] US pushing Israeli de-escalation ahead of new talks: Lebanese official
  • 2026-05-07T16:43 [Yahoo! Finance] FTSE 100 tumbles as Iran peace deal hopes rise
  • 2026-05-07T16:44 [41NBC News | WMGT-] U.S.-Iran tensions continue as optimism grows for possible peace deal
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information that would change the market's outlook.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide any new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia peace deal, focusing instead on unrelated topics.
evidence news (2 items · score 0.48 )
  • 2026-05-10T03:41 [i24NEWS English] US Rubio, Witkoff meet with Qatari PM in Miami amid push for Iran war ceasefire deal
  • 2026-05-10T06:29 [ABNA English] Hezbollah is Iran's red line, not Trump's photo op
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information or developments regarding a peace deal.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information that would change the market's outlook.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines about Iran's response to a U.S. ceasefire proposal do not change the information regarding the Ukraine-Russia ceasefire situation.
evidence news (2 items · score 0.52 )
  • 2026-05-10T18:32 [Idaho State Journa] Iran responds to US ceasefire proposal as drones target Gulf nations
  • 2026-05-10T18:37 [Seeking Alpha] Iran responds to U.S. ceasefire proposal (USO:NYSEARCA)
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on Iran's response to a ceasefire proposal and do not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia situation.
evidence news (6 items · score 1.56 )
  • 2026-05-10T16:13 [PBS.org] Trump calls Iran's response to ceasefire proposal 'unacceptable'
  • 2026-05-10T19:17 [Daily Post Nigeria] Ceasefire: Iran has been playing games with US - Trump
  • 2026-05-10T20:19 [Sahara Reporters] Trump Accuses Iran Of "Playing Games" With U.S., Blames Obama For Empowering Tehran
  • 2026-05-10T21:10 [The Times of India] 'Totally unacceptable': Trump rejects Iran's ceasefire response sent via Pakistan
  • 2026-05-10T21:14 [The Hindu] Iran responds to U.S. ceasefire proposal but Trump rejects it as 'unacceptable'
  • 2026-05-10T21:25 [TOLOnews] Trump says Iran still interested in reaching agreement
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on Iran and do not provide any new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia peace deal.
evidence news (3 items · score 0.76 )
  • 2026-05-10T21:47 [The Free Press - T] Trump Slams The Brakes On Iran's Peace Counter-Offer As Drones Swarm The Gulf - Tampa Free Press
  • 2026-05-10T21:57 [Pulse24.com ] 'Unacceptable': Trump rejects Iran's response to U.S. ceasefire proposal
  • 2026-05-10T22:16 [Brigitte Gabriel] JUST IN: Trump Responds To Iran's Latest Peace Deal Proposal - Conservative Angle
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline about Iran's reply does not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia peace deal and does not change the existing narrative.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.31 )
  • 2026-05-10T23:50 [The Shillong Times] Iran reply to peace deal amid Gulf drone attacks
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines focus on Iran's response to a ceasefire proposal and do not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia situation.
evidence news (4 items · score 1.00 )
  • 2026-05-10T20:56 [조선일보] Trump Rejects Iran's Ceasefire Response, Collapse Looms
  • 2026-05-10T21:08 [ITV Hub] Trump says Iran's response to ceasefire proposal is 'totally unacceptable'
  • 2026-05-11T00:52 [Business Standard] Iran responds to US ceasefire proposal but Trump rejects it as unacceptable
  • 2026-05-11T01:04 [7NEWS.com.au] Iran's proposal to reopen Strait of Hormuz met with blunt reply from Trump
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not pertain to Ukraine and Russia, and do not provide any new information regarding the peace deal.
evidence news (2 items · score 0.48 )
  • 2026-05-11T03:45 [Investing.com Indi] Gold Climbs As US-Iran Peace Deal Optimism Lifts Safe-Haven Market Sentiment Up By Kedia Advisory
  • 2026-05-11T04:08 [The Khaama Press N] Afghanistan And Uzbekistan Sign 13 Trade Agreements At Business Forum - Khaama Press
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines do not provide any relevant information about the Ukraine-Russia peace deal and instead focus on unrelated topics.
evidence news (2 items · score 0.50 )
  • 2026-05-11T14:06 [From the Trenches ] Israeli Military Has Killed More Than 850 Palestinians in Gaza Since So-Called Ceasefire Deal Was Signed | From the Trenches World Report
  • 2026-05-11T14:41 [Democratic Undergr] Grampy headed to GY-NUH as Iran is poised to accept CHINA'S peace deal. CHINA is SO woke and rigged and fake and unfair!
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information or developments.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information that would change the market's outlook.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information or developments.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline about Iran's ceasefire does not pertain to the Ukraine-Russia situation and does not change the existing information.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.29 )
  • 2026-05-11T18:27 [WION] Trump says Iran ceasefire 'on life support,' calls Tehran's new truce proposal 'garbage'
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline about oil prices does not relate to the Ukraine-Russia peace deal and does not change the existing information.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.17 )
  • 2026-05-12T08:03 [Investors King] Oil Prices Rise As Fragile U.S.-Iran Talks Renew Supply Concerns | Investors King
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire and prisoner swap details without introducing new information or developments.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire and prisoner swap details without introducing new information or developments.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headline discusses the Middle East and does not provide new information regarding the Ukraine-Russia situation.
evidence news (1 items · score 0.30 )
  • 2026-05-13T01:33 [TASS] Real opportunities for achieving peace in Middle East exist now -- Chinese envoy to Russia
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information that would change the trading outlook.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new information that would change the market's outlook.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement and do not introduce new developments or changes in the situation.
TIME_BACKSTOP
stage 1 (0.0001$) NO_NOISE
NO_NOISE: The new headlines reiterate the existing ceasefire agreement without introducing new developments or changes to the situation.

event timeline

ENTRY
{"side": "BUY_NO", "entry_price": 0.65, "size_usd": 99.8, "target_price": 0.99, "stop_price": 0.4, "broker": "paper"}
EXIT_SIGNAL
{"yes_bid": 0.33, "yes_ask": 0.34, "yes_mid": 0.335, "yes_spread_pp": 1.0, "walk_levels_used": 1, "walk_top_fill": 0.66, "walk_top_size": 577.5, "walk_filled_shares": 153.54, "walk_unfilled_shares": 0.0, "walk_avg_fill": 0.66, "walk_slippage_pp": 0.0, "side_bid_top": 0.66, "side_bid": 0.66, "side_mid": 0.665, "fill_price": 0.66, "fill_shares": 153.54, "is_partial": false, "remaining_before": 153.54, "target_price": 0.99, "stop_price": 0.4, "entry_price": 0.65, "original_size_shares": 153.53846153846152, "fill_pnl_pct": 1.54, "fill_pnl_usd": 1.5354, "pnl_pct_mid": 2.31, "pnl_pct_top": 1.54, "trigger_vs_level_pp": null, "mfe_drift_pp": 6.0, "current_drift_pp": 1.0, "hours_held": 96.01, "fill_id": "88c2f079-bb08-4bdf-972f-85cf56df55fc"}