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markets the agent considered — drill into any row to see full reasoning.

strategy: all strategy: mean regression strategy: momentum
started market outcome LLM verdict action
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Kash Patel out by June 30?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Kash Patel out by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED HIGH/LARGE YES open →
mr Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY YES open →
mr Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/LARGE NO open →
mr Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Iran leadership change by May 31?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mr Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
● plan UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE YES open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mr US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mom US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED HIGH/SMALL YES open →
mom Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mr Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mr Kash Patel out by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Kash Patel out by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mr Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED HIGH/LARGE NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Kash Patel out by June 30?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Kash Patel out by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mr Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
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