◢ pm_agent
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positions

entry / target / stop · TP & SL outcomes.

all open closed
strategy: all strategy: mean regression strategy: momentum
open
10
closed
77
TP / SL
39 / 23
realized pnl
$+286.05
status side entry target peak bid gap stop exit reason hold pnl% pnl$ market run
● open
BUY_NO — — 0.4200 — — — — 14.0h — —
mr Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
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BUY_YES — — 0.5800 ✓ — — ● TP 38m +12.50% $+0.80
mom Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5800 — — — — 17.7h — —
mr Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidenti
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BUY_NO — — 0.8300 — — — — 21.2h — —
mr Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States
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BUY_NO — — 0.7900 — — — — 27.9h — —
mr Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed i
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BUY_YES — — 0.3400 — — — — 30.3h — —
mr Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
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BUY_NO — — 0.8310 — — — VERDICT FLIP 3.8h -3.88% $-0.10
mr Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at
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BUY_NO — — 0.6910 — — — VERDICT FLIP 1.6h +9.68% $+18.92
mr Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingd
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BUY_NO — — 0.4800 — — — VERDICT FLIP 1.8h +11.11% $+27.78
mr Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
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BUY_YES — — 0.5700 — — — IDLE NEVER PROFITABLE 2.0d -3.39% $-0.32
mr Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
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● open
BUY_NO — — 0.6400 — — — — 2.7d — —
mr Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
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BUY_YES — — 0.3500 — — — — 2.7d — —
mr Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7210 — — — ● SL 28m -15.51% $-54.28
mr Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
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● open
BUY_NO — — 0.8600 — — — — 3.3d — —
mr Iran leadership change by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7400 — — — VERDICT FLIP 10.6h -1.35% $-3.38
mr Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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BUY_NO — — 0.3670 — — — — 3.6d — —
mom Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
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BUY_NO — — — — — — VERDICT FLIP 8m -0.56% $-0.56
mom Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
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BUY_YES — — 0.1970 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 27.5h +10.76% $+1.05
mr Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio
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BUY_NO — — 0.3700 — — — TARGET HIT 5.2h +13.37% $+33.43
mr Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4000 — — — VERDICT FLIP 28.3h +33.33% $+32.86
mr US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
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BUY_YES — — 0.3700 — — — VERDICT FLIP 3.2h -2.63% $-3.89
mr Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 20
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BUY_NO — — 0.8100 — — — THETA TIME STOP 4.0d +0.00% $+0.00
mr Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.8000 — — — THETA TIME STOP 4.0d -3.95% $-0.18
mr Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7000 — — — THETA TIME STOP 4.0d +1.54% $+1.54
mr Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
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BUY_YES — — 0.7800 — — — VERDICT FLIP 4.5h -1.27% $-3.16
mr Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midte
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BUY_NO — — 0.4700 — — — THETA TIME STOP 4.0d +0.00% $+0.00
mr Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midt
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BUY_NO — — 0.6860 — — — VERDICT FLIP 2.3d -1.44% $-1.00
mr Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
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● open
BUY_YES — — 0.4400 — — — — 5.2d — —
mr 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
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BUY_NO — — 0.7800 — — — VERDICT FLIP 1.4h -1.27% $-3.16
mr Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midte
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BUY_YES — — — — — — VERDICT FLIP 5m +0.00% $+0.00
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — — — — — VERDICT FLIP 5m -1.64% $-5.74
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7800 — — — ● SL 29m -6.02% $-0.70
mr Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7200 ✓ — — ● TP 19.6h +11.27% $+2.92
mr Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,
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BUY_NO — — 0.6700 — — — VERDICT FLIP 3.4h -1.47% $-0.29
mr Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6200 — — — MFE GIVEBACK LEGACY PRE MIN FLOOR 6.0h -7.79% $-7.06
mr US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7900 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 6.0h +8.55% $+29.93
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7900 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 6.0h +10.77% $+0.54
mr Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of th
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BUY_NO — — 0.5700 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 6.0h +15.85% $+31.70
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.3900 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 8.8h -1.19% $-0.54
mr Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 202
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BUY_NO — — 0.6900 ✓ — — ● TP 3.1h +15.87% $+39.68
mr Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6100 — — — VERDICT FLIP 2.1h +3.39% $+8.47
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.3300 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 15.4h +0.00% $+0.00
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
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BUY_YES — — 0.2950 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 15.5h -2.61% $-0.53
mr Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30,
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BUY_NO — — 0.5600 — — — PHASE2 CUMULATIVE 3.6h +0.93% $+0.69
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June
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BUY_NO — — 0.7100 — — — PHASE2 HARD TIER1 4.8h +0.70% $+0.53
mom US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
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BUY_YES — — 0.4300 — — — IDLE NEVER PROFITABLE 5.9d -13.64% $-1.43
mr Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4350 ✓ — — ● TP 22.5h +18.42% $+13.81
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7800 — — — ● SL 7.4h -7.69% $-0.76
mom U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6100 ✓ — — ● TP 2.9d +12.28% $+9.21
mom Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of th
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BUY_NO — — 0.6400 ✓ — — ● TP 3.7h +12.50% $+7.42
mr Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6440 — — — ● SL 45.0h -9.94% $-9.94
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6400 ✓ — — ● TP 5.2h +18.52% $+14.82
mr Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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BUY_YES — — 0.8300 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 6.3h +0.65% $+0.49
mom Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
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BUY_YES — — 0.2300 — — — IDLE TIME CAPPED 8.2d +21.05% $+22.58
mr Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7000 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 6.1h -0.71% $-0.40
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 3
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BUY_NO — — 0.8000 ✓ — — ● TP 2.7d +9.46% $+7.09
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5800 — — — IDLE TIME CAPPED 8.8d +1.82% $+4.55
mr Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 20
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BUY_YES — — 0.4850 ✓ — — ● TP 33.0h +20.35% $+20.35
mom Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential electi
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BUY_NO — — 0.5500 — — — ● SL 4.8h -7.14% $-4.29
mr Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6800 ✓ — — ● TP 17.4h +6.06% $+3.03
mr Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4200 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 47.2h +62.50% $+11.35
mr Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican prima
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BUY_NO — — 0.7700 — — — MFE GIVEBACK 8.8d -4.84% $-0.59
mr Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — — — — — PHASE0 BLOCKED 0m +0.00% $+0.00
mr Kash Patel out by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7800 — — — ● SL 42.4h -7.59% $-1.52
mom Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidenti
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BUY_NO — — 0.3100 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 2.7d +29.03% $+5.81
mom Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5000 — — — ● SL 2.2h -13.72% $-0.90
mom Kash Patel out by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7500 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 12.1h -2.00% $-0.12
mom Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,
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BUY_NO — — 0.4610 ✓ — — ● TP 1.1h +10.09% $+4.04
mr Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the
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BUY_NO — — 0.7200 ✓ — — ● TP 4.3h +4.51% $+2.25
mr Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
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BUY_YES — — 0.6580 ✓ — — ● TP 8.2d +12.12% $+6.06
mr Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
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BUY_YES — — 0.5210 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 6.8h -4.49% $-1.80
mr Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the
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BUY_NO — — 0.7300 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 6.4h -1.35% $-0.27
mom Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4470 ✓ — — ● TP 4.9h +10.33% $+7.23
mr Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the
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BUY_NO — — 0.2610 ✓ — — ● TP 6.4h +16.60% $+3.32
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
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BUY_YES — — 0.6700 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 3.1d +0.78% $+0.31
mr Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
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BUY_YES — — 0.3900 — — — ● SL 7.2h -11.02% $-5.51
mr Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio
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BUY_NO — — 0.6200 — — — VERDICT FLIP 10.0d +5.36% $+2.68
mr Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5200 ✓ — — ● TP 3.7h +9.18% $+1.84
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4000 ✓ — — ● TP 6.2h +9.21% $+1.84
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 3
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BUY_YES — — 0.3710 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 30.5h -0.85% $-0.34
mr Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5200 — — — PHASE4 MFE GIVEBACK 15.1h +6.25% $+0.94
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
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BUY_NO — — 0.6800 ✓ — — ● TP 2.5h +5.61% $+2.80
mr Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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BUY_NO — — 0.4100 ✓ — — ● TP 5.7h +18.28% $+7.31
mr Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of th
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BUY_NO — — 0.1800 ✓ — — ● TP 8m +32.65% $+9.79
mr US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.3700 ✓ — — ● TP 19m +11.08% $+4.43
mr US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
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BUY_NO — — 0.5600 — — — ● SL 1.1h -14.04% $-4.21
mr Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
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BUY_NO — — 0.7690 — — — ● SL 6.6h -6.33% $-3.17
mr Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026
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