◢ pm_agent
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pipeline

markets the agent considered — drill into any row to see full reasoning.

strategy: all strategy: mean regression strategy: momentum
started market outcome LLM verdict action
mom Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
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mom Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
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mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
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mom Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
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mom US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
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mom US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
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mom Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Kash Patel out by June 30?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY YES open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
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mom Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Kash Patel out by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Iran leadership change by December 31?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY NO open →
mom Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Iran leadership change by May 31?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Iran leadership change by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
⚠ audit blocked CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
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