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pipeline

markets the agent considered — drill into any row to see full reasoning.

strategy: all strategy: mean regression strategy: momentum
started market outcome LLM verdict action
mom ○ post-OMIT Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY NO open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom ○ post-OMIT Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mom ○ post-OMIT Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom ○ post-OMIT Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom ○ post-OMIT Kash Patel out by May 31?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/LARGE NO open →
mr Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE YES open →
mr ○ post-OMIT US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr ○ post-OMIT Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
● plan UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE YES open →
mom US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY NO open →
mom Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY NO open →
mom Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY YES open →
mr Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY NO open →
mr Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?
✕ planner skip FAIR LOW/None OMIT open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
● plan UNDERPRICED HIGH/LARGE YES open →
mr US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
✕ planner skip FAIR LOW/None OMIT open →
mom Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr ↻ post-OMIT Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
⚠ audit blocked UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
● plan UNDERPRICED HIGH/LARGE YES open →
mr Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr ↻ post-OMIT Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mr Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED LOW/LARGE OMIT open →
mom Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY YES open →
mr Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
✕ planner skip REVERSE LOW/SMALL BUY YES open →
mr Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR LOW/None OMIT open →
mr Iran leadership change by June 30?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/SMALL NO open →
mr Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
2.5 price bound gate UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mom Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
● plan CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mom Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
✕ planner skip REVERSE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY YES open →
mom Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
✕ planner skip CONTINUE MEDIUM/MEDIUM BUY NO open →
mr ↻ post-OMIT Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mom US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
✕ planner skip STALL MEDIUM/MEDIUM OMIT open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
wide spread OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr ↻ post-OMIT Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
⚠ audit blocked OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr ↻ post-OMIT Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
✕ planner skip FAIR MEDIUM/None OMIT open →
mr Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip OVERPRICED LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
● plan UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE YES open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL NO open →
mr US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
● plan OVERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE NO open →
mr Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
✕ planner skip FAIR LOW/None OMIT open →
mr Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
● plan UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/LARGE YES open →
mom Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mom Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
✕ planner skip STALL LOW/SMALL OMIT open →
mr ↻ a3_reeval Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
✕ planner skip UNDERPRICED MEDIUM/SMALL YES open →
mr Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
● plan OVERPRICED HIGH/LARGE NO open →
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